- The NZD/USD erased early week losses and finished the week flat.
- On Friday, recession fears abated, but growing risks remain skewed to the downside.
- St. Louis Fed’s Bullard commented that the US economy is fine and that recession worries are exaggerated.
The New Zealand dollar recorded solid gains vs. the greenback, snapping two days of consecutive losses, recovering from daily lows near 0.6266, piercing through the 0.6300 figure, and ending near the daily highs at around 0.6327. At 0.6312, the NZD/USD reflects Friday’s upbeat market mood, which underpinned risk-sensitive currencies in the FX space.
Upbeat sentiment and a weaker greenback, a tailwind for the NZD/USD
Risk appetite increased in the session as witnessed by Wall Street finishing with robust gains after plunging to bear market levels, meaning losses of 20% or more from all-time-highs. US recession fears abated on US economic data, showing that consumer inflation expectations lowered from a 14-year high. Nevertheless, Thursday’s US S&P Global PMIs printed that the economy is slowing down, coupled with inflation expectations taming, which denotes the Fed could keep hiking but not at a faster pace.
During the North American session, the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said US recession worries are overblown and commented that the US would be fine. He added that tightening policy will slow down the economy to a trend pace of growth and expects the need to move the FFR near 3.50%.
Late in the day, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said the Fed doesn’t need to think about the endpoint of the balance sheet yet, and added that the central bank would communicate regarding that. Daly’s said that she does not see a recession.
NZD/USD traders should be aware of New Zealand’s holiday, suggesting that no economic data is available. Meanwhile, the US economic docket featured the UoM Consumer Sentiment on its final reading for June, which plunged to 50. US New Home Sales rose 10.7% in May to 0.696 million and beat expectations of 0.588 million
In the week ahead, the New Zealand economic docket will feature ANZ Business Confidence, ANZ Consumer Confidence, and Building Permits. On the US front, the calendar will unveil Durable Goods Orders, CB Consumer Confidence, Gross Domestic Product, and the Fed’s favorite gauge of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for May.
NZD/USD Key Technical Levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.