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ECB’s Lagarde: I intend to raise rates by 50 bps in March

by Editor
February 15, 2023
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ECB’s Lagarde: I intend to raise rates by 50 bps in March
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Europen Central Bank governor, Christine Lagarde has said that even though most measures of longer-term inflation expectations currently stand at around 2%, these measures warrant continued monitoring.

She says price pressures remain strong and underlying inflation is still high. She intends to lift rates by 50 basis points at the March meeting. 

Lagarde says while confidence is rising and energy prices have fallen, we expect activity to remain weak in the near term.

EUR/USD update

Lagarde’s comments are supporting EUR/USd at the time of writing. The Euro meanwhile, fell against the US Dollar on Wednesday after hotter-than-expected US Retail Sales data last month, coming a day after a report showing stubbornly high US consumer prices. EUR/USD is currently trading down some 0.6% after falling from a high of 1.0744 to a low of 1.0661 in the day’s range so far.

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On Tuesday, February 25, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde revealed her plans for an interest rate increase in March. Speaking in Barcelona, Lagarde said that the ECB Board of Governors had proposed a “50 basis point increase”, aimed at stimulating economic growth in the Euro Area.

The proposed increase in ECB interest rates has been long anticipated and will be the first since March 2016. The last rate change was a negative 10 basis point cut in September of 2019. Lagarde commented that the ECB Board of Governors is “cautious yet confident” about the decision and that it was “time to act.”

Lagarde also noted that she considered the ECB’s current level of interest rates to be “neutral,” allowing for growth but also not adding extra stimulus. The ECB’s current target rate is -0.5%, meaning that banks are expected to pay a penalty to deposit money in the ECB. The proposed rate increase of 50 basis points would bring the target rate to 0%.

The ECB Board of Governors also discussed the possibility of increasing inflation, another measure that would aid economic growth. Lagarde noted that while inflation should increase as the rate hike is implemented, the ECB Board of Governors is “focused on ensuring that [inflation] remains on course.”

The proposed rate increase from the ECB Board of Governors exemplifies their commitment to a sustainable path of economic growth. Further announcements about the specifics of the rate hike are expected closer to the March meeting.

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