After two weeks of flatlining, crypto markets finally endured a little change of pace as investors spooked by UK inflation and the latest Janet Yellen warning about the U.S. debt ceiling stalemate sent prices reeling on Wednesday.
The release of the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes later in the day showing U.S. central bankers divided on a continuation of interest rate hikes did little to boost market confidence.
Bitcoin was recently trading at about $26,440, off roughly 3% over the past 24 hours and near its lowest level since May 12 when the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization dipped below $26,000. In this period, BTC has been slogging through low trading volume and volatility as markets wrestle with the prospect of a U.S. government unable to pay its debts and ongoing crypto regulatory and macroeconomic uncertainties. Until Wednesday, bitcoin had remained in a $26,500 to $27,500 range.
In an email to CoinDesk, Ruslan Lienkha, chief of markets at fintech platform YouHodler, wrote that “increased tension in financial markets” had buffeted equities and digital assets.
“US stock indexes are under selling pressure by raised concerns about a possible default of the US: With just about 10 days left for authorities to reach some agreement, we have not yet seen any progress in these negotiations,” Lienkha wrote. “All this uncertainty forces financial institutions to restructure assets and prepare for a possible default, which puts additional pressure on participants in financial markets.”
Ether was recently changing hands at about $1,808, off approximately 2.6% from Tuesday, same time. Most major cryptos spent Wednesday firmly in the red with LTC and SOL, the token of the Solana smart contracts platform tumbling more than 5.2% and 3.6%, respectively. The CoinDesk Market Index, a measure of crypto markets performance, fell 2.8%. The CoinDesk Bitcoin Trend Indicator remained in downtrend territory, where it recently dropped – a reflection of the falling investor optimism. A number of analysts believe that bitcoin will remain stuck until a new catalyst emerges.
Major stock indexes struggled similarly on Wednesday, restoring at least temporarily the correlation between equity and crypto pricing with the tech-focused Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) all dropping the better part of a percentage point. The two asset classes have been traveling increasingly different paths in recent months but Yellen’s third caution this month that the U.S. could “run out of money” without a debt limit agreement seemed to sweep up all assets.
Earlier Wednesday, cryptos plunged after the U.K.’s latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 6.8% in April, above the expected 6.2% and its highest point since 1992. The disappointing CPI suggested that England’s central bank would have to continue its recent diet of interest rate hikes, which have generally discouraged crypto markets.
In an interview with CoinDesk TV Wednesday, Glen Goodman, author of “The Crypto Trader,” noted that bitcoin had recently maintained more of a connection to the price of gold, a traditional safe haven asset. But he added that BTC still lacked some consistent motivation to account for investor decisions about buying and selling.
“We still haven’t found a reason why everybody needs to have a goal rather we have found a number of reasons,” Goodman said. “The only problem is people haven’t coalesced on one main narrative. We’re waiting for events, for some kind of disaster to befall the world economy, such as the dollar collapsing. And then, of course, everybody would coalesce around one narrative.”
Edited by James Rubin.
The Bitcoin market has been in a long term slump as investors weigh the federal debt ceiling stalemate in the United States, and the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes. Since its peak around $26.5K in early January, Bitcoin has been in a steep decline as investors have become increasingly concerned about the economic implications of the debt ceiling stalemate.
The debt ceiling stalemate between the Republican-led House of Representatives and the Democrat-led Senate has been an ongoing issue since the start of 2021. Without an agreement on increasing the borrowing limit, the Treasury Department will run out of money to fund some of the basic government services, leading to a possible government shutdown.
Investors are also keeping an eye on the latest FOMC meeting minutes, which were released this week. In the minutes, the Fed left unchanged their current easy-money policies, including interest rates and bond purchases. The move was seen as a continuation of the current easy-money policies, a sign that the Fed remains confident in the economic recovery despite the growing debt burden.
The combination of these two issues, combined with a lack of fresh news from the crypto market, has dampened the sentiment around Bitcoin. Many investors are holding off from taking any positions in the cryptocurrency in light of the uncertainty in both the US markets and the crypto market.
The long term outlook for Bitcoin is still positive, and the current slump may be temporary, but it will take some time before the market begins to rebound. Until investors become more confident in the current economic recovery and the crypto market, it is likely that Bitcoin will remain in its current doldrums.